Reds at Brewers
Last play · Stuart Fairchild flies out to right fielder Jackson Chourio.
Win probability
Brewers100%
CIN 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 0 – 3 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Brewers favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Joey Ortiz homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field. Jackson Chourio scores. Brice Turang scores. (inning 5) — +33% Brewers
9Jeimer Candelario doubles (17) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Blake Perkins. Elly De La Cruz scores.1–3
5Joey Ortiz homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field. Jackson Chourio scores. Brice Turang scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














