Cubs at Brewers
Last play · Brice Turang strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Brewers0%
CHC 100%MIL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 3 – 3 MIL
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Brewers favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ian Happ homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. Seiya Suzuki scores. (inning 8) — -39% Cubs
8Ian Happ homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. Seiya Suzuki scores.5–3
4Sal Frelick grounds into a force out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to second baseman Nico Hoerner. Jackson Chourio scores. Rhys Hoskins out at 2nd. Sal Frelick to 1st.3–3
4Pete Crow-Armstrong singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Sal Frelick. Ian Happ scores.3–2
3William Contreras singles on a fly ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Andruw Monasterio scores.2–2
3Brice Turang singles on a bunt ground ball to pitcher Justin Steele. Sal Frelick scores. Andruw Monasterio to 3rd.2–1
1Michael Busch homers (10) on a fly ball to center field. Nico Hoerner scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














