Cubs at Brewers
Last play · Miles Mastrobuoni flies out to center fielder Sal Frelick.
Win probability
Brewers100%
CHC 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 1 – 7 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+165 / -195
Brewers favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Yelich homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. William Contreras scores. (inning 4) — +30% Brewers
4Brice Turang hits a grand slam (6) to right center field. Rhys Hoskins scores. Sal Frelick scores. Jackson Chourio scores.1–7
4Sal Frelick singles on a line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Jake Bauers scores. Rhys Hoskins to 2nd.1–3
4Christian Yelich homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. William Contreras scores.1–2
1Nico Hoerner homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














