Cubs at Brewers
Last play · Pete Crow-Armstrong grounds out, second baseman Brice Turang to first baseman Rhys Hoskins.
Win probability
Brewers100%
CHC 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 2 – 4 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Brewers favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jackson Chourio hits a grand slam (9) to left field. Christian Yelich scores. Sal Frelick scores. Rhys Hoskins scores. (inning 4) — +48% Brewers
4Jackson Chourio hits a grand slam (9) to left field. Christian Yelich scores. Sal Frelick scores. Rhys Hoskins scores.2–4
4Dansby Swanson singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jackson Chourio. Ian Happ scores. Christopher Morel to 2nd.2–0
4Seiya Suzuki homers (10) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














