Pirates at Brewers
Last play · Nick Gonzales flies out to right fielder Sal Frelick.
Win probability
Brewers100%
PIT 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 0 – 5 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Brewers favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · William Contreras doubles (23) on a line drive to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Andruw Monasterio scores. Brice Turang scores. (inning 4) — +13% Brewers
8Willy Adames homers (14) on a fly ball to left field. Jackson Chourio scores. Jake Bauers scores.0–9
7Andruw Monasterio singles on a fly ball to center fielder Jack Suwinski. Sal Frelick scores.0–6
5Rhys Hoskins homers (14) on a fly ball to left field.0–5
4William Contreras doubles (23) on a line drive to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Andruw Monasterio scores. Brice Turang scores.0–4
1Sal Frelick singles on a line drive to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Willy Adames scores.0–2
1Willy Adames doubles (21) on a line drive to center fielder Jack Suwinski. Christian Yelich scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














