Nationals at Brewers
Last play · Jackson Chourio strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Brewers0%
WSH 100%MIL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 4 – 2 MIL
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Brewers favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jesse Winker doubles (18) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Sal Frelick. CJ Abrams scores. (inning 1) — -12% Nationals
7Lane Thomas singles on a fly ball to center fielder Garrett Mitchell. Jacob Young scores.5–2
5Jesse Winker homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field.4–2
4Sal Frelick doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Lane Thomas. Willy Adames scores.3–2
4Willy Adames doubles (22) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder James Wood. William Contreras scores.3–1
4Trey Lipscomb doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jackson Chourio. Luis García Jr. scores. Keibert Ruiz to 3rd.3–0
4Keibert Ruiz singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Sal Frelick. Juan Yepez scores. Luis García Jr. to 2nd.2–0
1Jesse Winker doubles (18) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Sal Frelick. CJ Abrams scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














