Nationals at Brewers
Last play · Joey Ortiz flies out to right fielder Lane Thomas.
Win probability
Brewers0%
WSH 100%MIL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 3 – 5 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Brewers favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · CJ Abrams homers (15) on a fly ball to right center field. Luis García Jr. scores. (inning 9) — -71% Nationals
9CJ Abrams homers (15) on a fly ball to right center field. Luis García Jr. scores.6–5
7Luis García Jr. homers (11) on a fly ball to center field.4–5
4Riley Adams singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jackson Chourio. Harold Ramírez scores. Ildemaro Vargas to 3rd.3–5
4Ildemaro Vargas doubles (13) on a ground ball to third baseman Joey Ortiz. James Wood scores. Harold Ramírez to 3rd.2–5
4Harold Ramírez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Blake Perkins. Juan Yepez scores. James Wood to 3rd.1–5
1Eric Haase singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Sal Frelick scores. Andruw Monasterio scores. Blake Perkins to 3rd.0–5
1Andruw Monasterio hits a ground-rule double (3) on a fly ball to center field. Rhys Hoskins scores. Sal Frelick to 3rd.0–3
1Rhys Hoskins doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to left fielder James Wood. Jackson Chourio scores. Joey Ortiz scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














