Nationals at Brewers
Last play · Ildemaro Vargas strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Brewers100%
WSH 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 2 – 7 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Brewers favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Joey Ortiz singles on a line drive to right fielder Lane Thomas. Willy Adames scores. Sal Frelick scores. Joey Ortiz to 3rd. Fielding error by right fielder Lane Thomas. (inning 3) — +17% Brewers
8Willy Adames homers (15) on a fly ball to left center field. Brice Turang scores.3–9
8James Wood singles on a ground ball to third baseman Joey Ortiz. CJ Abrams scores.3–7
4Willy Adames singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Lane Thomas. William Contreras scores. Christian Yelich to 3rd.2–7
4Garrett Mitchell homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Jackson Chourio scores.2–6
4Juan Yepez singles on a line drive to right fielder Sal Frelick. Lane Thomas scores.2–4
3Joey Ortiz singles on a line drive to right fielder Lane Thomas. Willy Adames scores. Sal Frelick scores. Joey Ortiz to 3rd. Fielding error by right fielder Lane Thomas.1–4
3William Contreras homers (11) on a fly ball to center field.1–2
2Ildemaro Vargas singles on a line drive to left fielder Jackson Chourio. Juan Yepez scores.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














