Marlins at Brewers
Last play · Josh Bell grounds out, second baseman Brice Turang to first baseman Rhys Hoskins.
Win probability
Brewers100%
MIA 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 1 – 6 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 20.1% · hold 8.4%
Run line
-3.5
Moneyline
reference+3000 / -20000
Brewers favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jake Bauers homers (8) on a fly ball to right field. Brice Turang scores. (inning 1) — +22% Brewers
7Bryan De La Cruz grounds out, third baseman Joey Ortiz to first baseman Rhys Hoskins. Xavier Edwards scores.2–6
5Rhys Hoskins out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Nick Gordon. Jake Bauers scores.1–6
5Jackson Chourio homers (11) on a fly ball to center field.1–5
4Brice Turang singles on a line drive to left fielder Bryan De La Cruz. Garrett Mitchell scores. Joey Ortiz to 2nd.1–4
4Joey Ortiz singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Jonah Bride. Rhys Hoskins scores. Garrett Mitchell to 3rd.1–3
1Jake Bauers homers (8) on a fly ball to right field. Brice Turang scores.1–2
1Xavier Edwards homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














