Braves at Brewers
Last play · Jake Bauers strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Brewers0%
ATL 100%MIL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 2 – 2 MIL
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Brewers favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Austin Riley singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jackson Chourio. Jarred Kelenic scores. Whit Merrifield scores. Jorge Soler to 2nd. (inning 7) — -31% Braves
8Travis d'Arnaud homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field.6–2
8Matt Olson homers (17) on a fly ball to center field.5–2
7Austin Riley singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jackson Chourio. Jarred Kelenic scores. Whit Merrifield scores. Jorge Soler to 2nd.4–2
4Travis d'Arnaud homers (10) on a fly ball to left field.2–2
4Matt Olson homers (16) on a fly ball to left center field.1–2
1Blake Perkins out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jorge Soler. Rhys Hoskins scores. Gary Sánchez to 3rd.0–2
1Gary Sánchez singles on a line drive to left fielder Eddie Rosario. Jackson Chourio scores. Rhys Hoskins to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
