Braves at Brewers
Last play · Ramón Laureano grounds out, third baseman Joey Ortiz to first baseman Jake Bauers.
Win probability
Brewers100%
ATL 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 2 – 1 MIL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Brewers favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Willy Adames homers (17) on a fly ball to left center field. Brice Turang scores. Jake Bauers scores. (inning 6) — +46% Brewers
9Sean Murphy homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.3–8
8Rhys Hoskins out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jarred Kelenic. Garrett Mitchell scores.2–8
8Jackson Chourio homers (12) on a fly ball to left field. Willy Adames scores.2–7
7Joey Ortiz triples (3) on a line drive to center fielder Jarred Kelenic. Sal Frelick scores.2–5
6Willy Adames homers (17) on a fly ball to left center field. Brice Turang scores. Jake Bauers scores.2–4
5Rhys Hoskins homers (18) on a fly ball to left center field.2–1
5Orlando Arcia homers (9) on a fly ball to center field.2–0
4Marcell Ozuna homers (31) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














