Reds at Brewers
Last play · Luke Maile grounds out, second baseman Brice Turang to first baseman Rhys Hoskins.
Win probability
Brewers100%
CIN 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 0 – 8 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Brewers favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Willy Adames homers (21) on a fly ball to right field. Jackson Chourio scores. Garrett Mitchell scores. (inning 1) — +24% Brewers
7Stuart Fairchild homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field. Ty France scores.3–8
7Spencer Steer homers (16) on a fly ball to left field.1–8
3Rhys Hoskins singles on a ground ball to second baseman Jonathan India, deflected by shortstop Elly De La Cruz. Sal Frelick scores.0–8
3Sal Frelick triples (3) on a line drive to right fielder Jake Fraley, deflected by center fielder TJ Friedl. William Contreras scores.0–7
2Brice Turang homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. Joey Ortiz scores.0–6
2Joey Ortiz doubles (17) on a sharp line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Jake Bauers scores.0–4
1Willy Adames homers (21) on a fly ball to right field. Jackson Chourio scores. Garrett Mitchell scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
