Reds at Brewers
Last play · Joey Ortiz lines out to second baseman Santiago Espinal.
Win probability
Brewers0%
CIN 100%MIL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 3 – 2 MIL
Reds led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Brewers favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Santiago Espinal singles on a line drive to center fielder Blake Perkins. Spencer Steer scores. Stuart Fairchild scores. TJ Friedl out at 3rd on the throw, center fielder Blake Perkins to first baseman Rhys Hoskins to shortstop Willy Adames. (inning 4) — -25% Reds
7Spencer Steer out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jackson Chourio. Santiago Espinal scores. Elly De La Cruz to 3rd.4–3
6Willy Adames singles on a line drive to left fielder Spencer Steer. Gary Sánchez scores. William Contreras to 3rd.3–3
5Tyler Stephenson homers (15) on a fly ball to right center field.3–2
4Santiago Espinal singles on a line drive to center fielder Blake Perkins. Spencer Steer scores. Stuart Fairchild scores. TJ Friedl out at 3rd on the throw, center fielder Blake Perkins to first baseman Rhys Hoskins to shortstop Willy Adames.2–2
2Joey Ortiz homers (8) on a fly ball to left field. Willy Adames scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
