Guardians at Brewers
Last play · Josh Naylor grounds out, third baseman Joey Ortiz to first baseman Jake Bauers.
Win probability
Brewers100%
CLE 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 1 – 2 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Brewers favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · William Contreras homers (17) on a line drive to left field. (inning 4) — +13% Brewers
4William Contreras homers (17) on a line drive to left field.1–2
4Josh Naylor homers (27) on a fly ball to right center field.1–1
1Gary Sánchez doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan. Brice Turang scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
