Guardians at Brewers
Last play · Josh Naylor flies out to left fielder Jackson Chourio in foul territory.
Win probability
Brewers100%
CLE 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 0 – 2 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Brewers favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Eric Haase grounds out, shortstop Daniel Schneemann to first baseman Josh Naylor. Sal Frelick scores. (inning 2) — +10% Brewers
2Eric Haase grounds out, shortstop Daniel Schneemann to first baseman Josh Naylor. Sal Frelick scores.0–2
1Willy Adames singles on a line drive to left fielder Will Brennan. Brice Turang scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
