Mariners at Twins
Last play · Manuel Margot strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Twins0%
SEA 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 2 – 4 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Twins favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cal Raleigh hits a grand slam (9) to left field. Mitch Garver scores. Luis Urías scores. Dylan Moore scores. (inning 7) — -67% Mariners
9Ty France singles on a line drive to left fielder Austin Martin. Julio Rodríguez scores. Mitch Garver to 2nd.10–6
9Mitch Garver walks.9–6
9Mitch Haniger out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Max Kepler. Cal Raleigh scores. Josh Rojas to 3rd.8–6
9Josh Rojas singles on a line drive to center fielder Willi Castro. Dylan Moore scores. Cal Raleigh to 2nd.7–6
8Mariners challenged (play at 1st), call on the field was upheld: Austin Martin singles on a ground ball to first baseman Ty France. Max Kepler scores.6–6
7Kyle Farmer doubles (5) on a line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Jose Miranda scores.6–5
7Cal Raleigh hits a grand slam (9) to left field. Mitch Garver scores. Luis Urías scores. Dylan Moore scores.6–4
3Ryan Jeffers homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. Edouard Julien scores. Trevor Larnach scores.2–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








