Yankees at Twins
Last play · Edouard Julien flies out to left fielder Alex Verdugo.
Win probability
Twins0%
NYY 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 5 – 1 MIN
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Twins favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alex Verdugo doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Willi Castro. Juan Soto scores. Aaron Judge scores. (inning 4) — -17% Yankees
4Alex Verdugo doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Willi Castro. Juan Soto scores. Aaron Judge scores.5–1
3Giancarlo Stanton homers (9) on a line drive to left center field.3–1
2Anthony Volpe doubles (6) on a line drive to left fielder Austin Martin. Gleyber Torres scores. Austin Wells to 3rd.2–1
2Oswaldo Cabrera out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Willi Castro. Anthony Rizzo scores. Gleyber Torres to 3rd.1–1
1Ryan Jeffers homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








