Yankees at Twins
Last play · Manuel Margot grounds out, third baseman Oswaldo Cabrera to first baseman Anthony Rizzo.
Win probability
Twins0%
NYY 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 3 – 0 MIN
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -140
Twins favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Aaron Judge homers (11) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 1) — -12% Yankees
7Aaron Judge doubles (13) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Willi Castro. Juan Soto scores.4–0
3Giancarlo Stanton singles on a line drive to left fielder Alex Kirilloff. Aaron Judge scores. Alex Verdugo to 2nd.3–0
2Anthony Volpe out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Willi Castro. Gleyber Torres scores.2–0
1Aaron Judge homers (11) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








