Yankees at Twins
Last play · Carlos Santana flies out to right fielder Juan Soto.
Win probability
Twins0%
NYY 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 3 – 0 MIN
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Twins favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Anthony Volpe homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 1) — -10% Yankees
7Alex Verdugo out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Alex Kirilloff. Juan Soto scores.5–0
6Austin Wells singles on a line drive to right fielder Max Kepler. Gleyber Torres scores.4–0
1Anthony Rizzo grounds out, first baseman Carlos Santana to pitcher Joe Ryan. Alex Verdugo scores. Gleyber Torres to 3rd.3–0
1Gleyber Torres doubles (5) on a fly ball to center fielder Manuel Margot, deflected by left fielder Alex Kirilloff. Aaron Judge scores. Alex Verdugo to 3rd.2–0
1Anthony Volpe homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
