Rangers at Twins
Last play · Marcus Semien grounds out, third baseman Willi Castro to first baseman Carlos Santana.
Win probability
Twins100%
TEX 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 2 – 3 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Twins favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Corey Seager homers (9) on a fly ball to center field. Marcus Semien scores. (inning 1) — -22% Rangers
4Alex Kirilloff homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.2–3
2Edouard Julien grounds out, second baseman Marcus Semien to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe. Willi Castro scores. Christian Vázquez to 3rd.2–2
2Christian Vázquez hits a ground-rule double (1) on a line drive down the right-field line. Jose Miranda scores. Willi Castro to 3rd.2–1
1Corey Seager homers (9) on a fly ball to center field. Marcus Semien scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
