Royals at Twins
Last play · Nick Loftin grounds out, first baseman Carlos Santana to pitcher Jhoan Duran.
Win probability
Twins100%
KC 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 2 – 3 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Twins favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jose Miranda singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Manuel Margot scores. Carlos Correa scores. (inning 1) — +17% Twins
8Edouard Julien singles on a ground ball to right fielder Hunter Renfroe. Byron Buxton scores.2–4
5Kyle Isbel grounds out, shortstop Carlos Correa to first baseman Carlos Santana. Hunter Renfroe scores. Garrett Hampson to 2nd.2–3
5Garrett Hampson singles on a ground ball to right fielder Manuel Margot. Nick Loftin scores. Hunter Renfroe to 3rd.1–3
4Manuel Margot doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Christian Vázquez scores.0–3
1Jose Miranda singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Manuel Margot scores. Carlos Correa scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
