Rangers at Twins
Last play · Carlos Santana grounds out, second baseman Marcus Semien to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe.
Win probability
Twins0%
TEX 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 6 – 2 MIN
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Twins favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Corey Seager homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field. Marcus Semien scores. (inning 3) — -26% Rangers
5Carlos Correa doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Leody Taveras. Willi Castro scores. Carlos Correa to 3rd. Carlos Correa advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by second baseman Marcus Semien.6–2
5Nathaniel Lowe singles on a line drive to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Josh Smith scores.6–1
5Corey Seager homers (11) on a fly ball to right field.5–1
4Max Kepler doubles (13) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Evan Carter. Carlos Correa scores.4–1
4Jonah Heim grounds into a force out, second baseman Edouard Julien to shortstop Carlos Correa. Leody Taveras scores. Nathaniel Lowe out at 2nd. Jonah Heim to 1st.4–0
4Nathaniel Lowe singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Max Kepler. Adolis García scores. Leody Taveras to 3rd.3–0
3Corey Seager homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field. Marcus Semien scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
