Royals at Twins
Last play · Max Kepler pops out to second baseman Adam Frazier.
Win probability
Twins0%
KC 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 6 – 1 MIN
Royals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Twins favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nelson Velázquez homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. Salvador Perez scores. (inning 3) — -21% Royals
5Nelson Velázquez homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field.6–1
5Salvador Perez homers (10) on a fly ball to center field.5–1
3Nelson Velázquez homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. Salvador Perez scores.4–1
3Salvador Perez doubles (13) on a fly ball to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.2–1
3Bobby Witt Jr. singles on a ground ball to right fielder Max Kepler. Kyle Isbel scores.1–1
2Jose Miranda out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder MJ Melendez. Willi Castro scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
