Royals at Twins
Last play · Vinnie Pasquantino grounds out, pitcher Jhoan Duran to first baseman Carlos Santana.
Win probability
Twins100%
KC 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 4 – 3 MIN
Royals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50.6% · hold 1.2%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Twins favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Carlos Correa triples (2) on a line drive to right fielder Nelson Velázquez. Max Kepler scores. Carlos Santana scores. Manuel Margot scores. (inning 6) — +36% Twins
9Bobby Witt Jr. singles on a line drive to left fielder Manuel Margot. Adam Frazier scores. Maikel Garcia scores.6–7
6Carlos Correa triples (2) on a line drive to right fielder Nelson Velázquez. Max Kepler scores. Carlos Santana scores. Manuel Margot scores.4–7
6Max Kepler singles on a line drive to left fielder MJ Melendez. Willi Castro scores.4–4
5Ryan Jeffers homers (12) on a line drive to center field.4–3
4Ryan Jeffers homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field. Carlos Correa scores.4–2
4MJ Melendez homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.4–0
3Bobby Witt Jr. doubles (16) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Byron Buxton. Maikel Garcia scores.3–0
1Vinnie Pasquantino homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. Maikel Garcia scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
