Rockies at Twins
Last play · Brenton Doyle strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Twins100%
COL 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 0 – 2 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+200 / -240
Twins favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Vázquez out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Hunter Goodman. Manuel Margot scores. (inning 3) — +11% Twins
8Royce Lewis homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. Willi Castro scores.0–5
8Trevor Larnach out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Christian Vázquez scores. Willi Castro to 2nd.0–3
4Carlos Correa doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Hunter Goodman. Royce Lewis scores.0–2
3Christian Vázquez out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Hunter Goodman. Manuel Margot scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














