Rockies at Twins
Last play · Michael Toglia strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Twins100%
COL 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 2 – 8 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+205 / -250
Twins favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Carlos Santana doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Carlos Correa scores. Royce Lewis scores. Byron Buxton scores. Carlos Santana to 3rd. (inning 1) — +24% Twins
9Jacob Stallings hits a ground-rule double (6) on a fly ball to left-center field. Alan Trejo scores.9–17
8Max Kepler out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Michael Toglia. Willi Castro scores. Christian Vázquez to 3rd.8–17
8Christian Vázquez doubles (5) on a ground ball to left fielder Jake Cave. Carlos Santana scores. Kyle Farmer scores. Willi Castro to 3rd.8–16
8Kyle Farmer singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jake Cave. Byron Buxton scores. Carlos Santana to 2nd.8–14
8Carlos Santana singles on a ground ball to second baseman Adael Amador, deflected by first baseman Elehuris Montero. Jose Miranda scores. Byron Buxton to 3rd.8–13
8Jose Miranda doubles (12) on a fly ball to right fielder Michael Toglia. Carlos Correa scores. Royce Lewis scores.8–12
8Adael Amador grounds into a double play, shortstop Carlos Correa to first baseman Carlos Santana. Michael Toglia scores. Jake Cave to 3rd. Elehuris Montero out at 2nd. Adael Amador out at 1st.8–10
8Jake Cave reaches on a fielding error by shortstop Carlos Correa. Ryan McMahon scores. Jacob Stallings scores. Michael Toglia to 3rd.7–10
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














