Rays at Twins
Last play · Carlos Santana singles on a line drive to center fielder Jose Siri. Manuel Margot scores. Carlos Correa to 2nd.
Win probability
Twins100%
TB 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 6 – 6 MIN
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+160 / -190
Twins favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Willi Castro doubles (17) on a line drive to right fielder Jonny DeLuca. Carlos Correa scores. Ryan Jeffers scores. Austin Martin scores. Willi Castro to 3rd. (inning 4) — +32% Twins
9Carlos Santana singles on a line drive to center fielder Jose Siri. Manuel Margot scores. Carlos Correa to 2nd.6–7
5Ryan Jeffers out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jose Siri. Carlos Correa scores.6–6
5Max Kepler homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.6–5
5Josh Lowe homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.6–4
5Brandon Lowe homers (5) on a fly ball to center field.5–4
4Trevor Larnach hits a ground-rule double (4) on a line drive down the left-field line. Willi Castro scores.4–4
4Willi Castro doubles (17) on a line drive to right fielder Jonny DeLuca. Carlos Correa scores. Ryan Jeffers scores. Austin Martin scores. Willi Castro to 3rd.4–3
3Josh Lowe singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Max Kepler. Yandy Díaz scores. Isaac Paredes to 2nd.4–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














