Tigers at Twins
Last play · Ryan Jeffers hit by pitch.
Win probability
Twins100%
DET 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 3 – 9 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+160 / -190
Twins favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Max Kepler singles on a ground ball to left fielder Mark Canha. Carlos Correa scores. Trevor Larnach scores. Jose Miranda to 3rd. (inning 3) — +25% Twins
7Jose Miranda doubles (19) on a line drive to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Kyle Farmer scores.3–12
6Ryan Jeffers singles on a ground ball to pitcher Joey Wentz. Carlos Santana scores. Jose Miranda scores. Ryan Jeffers to 2nd. Throwing error by pitcher Joey Wentz.3–11
4Ryan Jeffers homers (14) on a fly ball to left field. Jose Miranda scores.3–9
4Jose Miranda doubles (18) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Matt Vierling. Carlos Correa scores. Trevor Larnach scores.3–7
3Manuel Margot singles on a ground ball to pitcher Kenta Maeda. Jose Miranda scores. Max Kepler to 2nd.3–5
3Max Kepler singles on a ground ball to left fielder Mark Canha. Carlos Correa scores. Trevor Larnach scores. Jose Miranda to 3rd.3–4
2Brooks Lee out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Ryan Jeffers scores.3–2
2Ryan Jeffers doubles (16) on a line drive to left fielder Mark Canha. Jose Miranda scores.3–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














