Rays at Twins
Last play · Carlos Santana flies out to center fielder Jose Siri.
Win probability
Twins0%
TB 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 2 – 2 MIN
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 35.9% · hold 7.2%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Twins favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jose Miranda homers (8) on a line drive to left center field. Byron Buxton scores. Austin Martin scores. (inning 9) — +56% Twins
10Jonny DeLuca singles on a line drive to center fielder Byron Buxton. Taylor Walls scores.7–6
9Jose Miranda homers (8) on a line drive to left center field. Byron Buxton scores. Austin Martin scores.6–6
9Carlos Santana homers (12) on a fly ball to right field.6–3
9Yandy Díaz homers (5) on a line drive to center field. Alex Jackson scores.6–2
9Jose Siri homers (9) on a fly ball to left field.4–2
8Amed Rosario doubles (12) on a line drive to left fielder Manuel Margot. Richie Palacios scores.3–2
3Royce Lewis homers (9) on a fly ball to left field.2–2
3Brandon Lowe out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Trevor Larnach. Alex Jackson scores.2–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














