Tigers at Twins
Last play · Austin Martin grounds into a force out, shortstop Ryan Kreidler to second baseman Andy Ibáñez. Christian Vázquez out at 2nd.
Win probability
Twins0%
DET 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 7 – 1 MIN
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+160 / -190
Twins favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Carson Kelly hits a grand slam (6) to left field. Matt Vierling scores. Colt Keith scores. Riley Greene scores. (inning 3) — -40% Tigers
9Matt Vierling homers (11) on a line drive to left field. Akil Baddoo scores.9–2
7Brooks Lee singles on a line drive to center fielder Riley Greene. Byron Buxton scores.7–2
5Riley Greene homers (16) on a fly ball to right field. Colt Keith scores.7–1
3Christian Vázquez homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.5–1
3Wenceel Pérez homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.5–0
3Carson Kelly hits a grand slam (6) to left field. Matt Vierling scores. Colt Keith scores. Riley Greene scores.4–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














