Rays at Twins
Last play · Carlos Correa flies out to left fielder Randy Arozarena.
Win probability
Twins0%
TB 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 1 – 2 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -170
Twins favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jonny DeLuca reaches on a throwing error by third baseman Royce Lewis. Randy Arozarena scores. Jonny DeLuca to 2nd. (inning 10) — -26% Rays
10Jonny DeLuca reaches on a throwing error by third baseman Royce Lewis. Randy Arozarena scores. Jonny DeLuca to 2nd.3–2
7Yandy Díaz singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Royce Lewis. José Caballero scores. Taylor Walls to 2nd.2–2
5Royce Lewis homers (8) on a fly ball to left field.1–2
3Trevor Larnach grounds into a double play, first baseman Yandy Díaz to shortstop Taylor Walls. Austin Martin scores. Willi Castro out at 2nd. Trevor Larnach out at 1st.1–1
3Isaac Paredes homers (11) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














