Tigers at Twins
Last play · Akil Baddoo called out on strikes.
Win probability
Twins100%
DET 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 3 – 3 MIN
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Twins favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ryan Kreidler homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Akil Baddoo scores. (inning 5) — -31% Tigers
8Carlos Correa homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field.3–5
7Ryan Jeffers reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Colt Keith. Byron Buxton scores. Ryan Jeffers out at 2nd, catcher Jake Rogers to first baseman Mark Canha.3–4
5Manuel Margot homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.3–3
5Ryan Kreidler homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Akil Baddoo scores.3–2
5Justyn-Henry Malloy homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.1–2
3Royce Lewis doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Akil Baddoo. Kyle Farmer scores. Manuel Margot scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














