Astros at Twins
Last play · Manuel Margot strikes out swinging, catcher César Salazar to first baseman Jon Singleton.
Win probability
Twins0%
HOU 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 3 – 4 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Twins favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Joey Loperfido hits a ground-rule double (4) on a fly ball down the right-field line. Jon Singleton scores. Jeremy Peña scores. (inning 6) — -29% Astros
9Carlos Correa hits a grand slam (11) to left field. Brooks Lee scores. Christian Vázquez scores. Willi Castro scores.13–12
9Christian Vázquez hits a ground-rule double (6) on a fly ball down the left-field line. Byron Buxton scores. Brooks Lee to 3rd.13–8
9Brooks Lee singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Joey Loperfido. Max Kepler scores. Byron Buxton to 2nd.13–7
9Byron Buxton singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Chas McCormick. Austin Martin scores. Max Kepler to 2nd.13–6
9Alex Bregman homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. César Salazar scores. Mauricio Dubón scores.13–5
8Jake Meyers out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Byron Buxton. Yainer Diaz scores. Jon Singleton to 3rd.10–5
8Jeremy Peña hits a sacrifice fly. Fielding error by left fielder Manuel Margot. Yordan Alvarez scores. Yainer Diaz to 3rd. Jon Singleton to 2nd. Jeremy Peña to 1st.9–5
8Yordan Alvarez singles on a fly ball to left fielder Manuel Margot. Mauricio Dubón scores. Alex Bregman to 2nd.8–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














