Brewers at Twins
Last play · Matt Wallner strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Twins0%
MIL 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 4 – 5 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Twins favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Rhys Hoskins homers (15) on a fly ball to left center field. Sal Frelick scores. (inning 8) — -39% Brewers
9Brooks Lee grounds out softly, pitcher Trevor Megill to first baseman Rhys Hoskins. Max Kepler scores.8–7
9Byron Buxton homers (11) on a fly ball to left field.8–6
9Eric Haase homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.8–5
8Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Rhys Hoskins homers (15) on a fly ball to left center field. Sal Frelick scores.7–5
7Jackson Chourio homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field.5–5
5Trevor Larnach homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field. Willi Castro scores.4–5
5Eric Haase singles on a ground ball to center fielder Byron Buxton, deflected by shortstop Willi Castro. Jackson Chourio scores.4–3
5Jackson Chourio doubles (13) on a line drive to center fielder Byron Buxton. Joey Ortiz scores. Garrett Mitchell scores.3–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














