Phillies at Twins
Last play · J.T. Realmuto flies out to right fielder Max Kepler.
Win probability
Twins100%
PHI 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 2 – 3 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Twins favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Manuel Margot singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Max Kepler scores. Diego A. Castillo scores. (inning 5) — +30% Twins
8Byron Buxton strikes out swinging.2–7
8Willi Castro walks. Max Kepler scores. Edouard Julien to 3rd. Ryan Jeffers to 2nd.2–6
8Max Kepler singles on a ground ball to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Austin Martin scores.2–5
7Carlos Santana doubles (18) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Ryan Jeffers scores.2–4
5Manuel Margot singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Max Kepler scores. Diego A. Castillo scores.2–3
3Willi Castro singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Johan Rojas. Diego A. Castillo scores. Ryan Jeffers to 2nd.2–1
1Bryce Harper homers (23) on a fly ball to right field. Trea Turner scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














