Phillies at Twins
Last play · Austin Martin strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Twins0%
PHI 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 0 – 0 MIN
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-145 / +120
Twins favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Marsh out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Matt Wallner. Bryce Harper scores. (inning 9) — -34% Phillies
9Nick Castellanos doubles (19) on a line drive to right fielder Max Kepler. Alec Bohm scores. J.T. Realmuto scores.3–0
9Brandon Marsh out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Matt Wallner. Bryce Harper scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














