White Sox at Twins
Last play · Andrew Vaughn flies out to center fielder Byron Buxton.
Win probability
Twins100%
CWS 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 2 – 4 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+215 / -260
Twins favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Miguel Vargas homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. Dominic Fletcher scores. (inning 3) — -23% White Sox
8Byron Buxton homers (14) on a fly ball to center field. Trevor Larnach scores.2–10
8Willi Castro homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field. Christian Vázquez scores.2–8
8Christian Vázquez doubles (7) on a fly ball to left fielder Andrew Benintendi. Austin Martin scores. Brooks Lee scores.2–6
3Royce Lewis doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Luis Robert Jr. Trevor Larnach scores. Byron Buxton scores.2–4
3Miguel Vargas homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. Dominic Fletcher scores.2–2
1Royce Lewis homers (12) on a line drive to left field. Trevor Larnach scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
