Royals at Twins
Last play · Michael Massey flies out to center fielder Manuel Margot.
Win probability
Twins100%
KC 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 2 – 6 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Twins favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Willi Castro homers (9) on a fly ball to right field. Ryan Jeffers scores. Austin Martin scores. (inning 2) — +35% Twins
7Manuel Margot out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Royce Lewis scores.3–8
7Matt Wallner singles on a line drive to right fielder Hunter Renfroe. Trevor Larnach scores. Royce Lewis to 3rd.3–7
6Adam Frazier singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Max Kepler. MJ Melendez scores.3–6
2Royce Lewis homers (15) on a fly ball to left field. Trevor Larnach scores.2–6
2Willi Castro homers (9) on a fly ball to right field. Ryan Jeffers scores. Austin Martin scores.2–4
2Austin Martin singles on a line drive to right fielder Hunter Renfroe. Carlos Santana scores. Ryan Jeffers to 3rd.2–1
2Kyle Isbel singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Max Kepler. Adam Frazier scores. Maikel Garcia to 3rd.2–0
1Bobby Witt Jr. homers (23) on a line drive to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
