Guardians at Twins
Last play · Max Kepler grounds out, first baseman Josh Naylor to pitcher Emmanuel Clase.
Win probability
Twins0%
CLE 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 1 – 0 MIN
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Twins favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bo Naylor homers (9) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 6) — -23% Guardians
6Matt Wallner grounds out, second baseman Andrés Giménez to first baseman Josh Naylor. Willi Castro scores.2–1
6Bo Naylor homers (9) on a fly ball to right field.2–0
1Steven Kwan homers (12) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
