Guardians at Twins
Last play · Trevor Larnach grounds into a double play, second baseman Andrés Giménez to shortstop Brayan Rocchio to first baseman David Fry. Manuel Margot out at 2nd. Trevor Larnach out at 1st.
Win probability
Twins0%
CLE 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 1 – 1 MIN
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Twins favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · José Ramírez homers (31) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 4) — -16% Guardians
8Byron Buxton homers (16) on a fly ball to left field. Royce Lewis scores.5–3
6Will Brennan doubles (8) on a line drive to center fielder Byron Buxton. Brayan Rocchio scores. Steven Kwan to 3rd.5–1
6Steven Kwan singles on a ground ball to left fielder Matt Wallner. Daniel Schneemann scores. Brayan Rocchio to 2nd.4–1
6Brayan Rocchio singles on a fly ball to right fielder Max Kepler. Andrés Giménez scores. Daniel Schneemann to 3rd.3–1
6David Fry homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field.2–1
4José Ramírez homers (31) on a fly ball to right center field.1–1
2Byron Buxton homers (15) on a fly ball to left field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
