Royals at Twins
Last play · Matt Wallner grounds out, pitcher Lucas Erceg to first baseman Salvador Perez.
Win probability
Twins0%
KC 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 2 – 1 MIN
Royals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Twins favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bobby Witt Jr. homers (24) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 3) — -16% Royals
7Vinnie Pasquantino doubles (26) on a line drive to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Maikel Garcia scores.4–1
6Paul DeJong homers (20) on a fly ball to left center field.3–1
4Carlos Santana homers (16) on a fly ball to left field.2–1
3Bobby Witt Jr. homers (24) on a fly ball to left center field.2–0
2Kyle Isbel grounds out to pitcher Louie Varland. Paul DeJong scores. Freddy Fermin to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
