Royals at Twins
Last play · Garrett Hampson called out on strikes.
Win probability
Twins100%
KC 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 2 – 8 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Twins favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jose Miranda reaches on a throwing error by third baseman Maikel Garcia. Royce Lewis scores. Matt Wallner scores. Jose Miranda to 2nd. (inning 1) — +16% Twins
7Kyle Farmer homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Austin Martin scores.3–13
6Max Kepler homers (8) on a line drive to right field. Jose Miranda scores. Carlos Santana scores.3–11
6Salvador Perez homers (22) on a fly ball to center field.3–8
5Christian Vázquez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Carlos Santana scores.2–8
5Manuel Margot singles on a ground ball to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. , deflected by third baseman Maikel Garcia. Jose Miranda scores. Carlos Santana to 3rd. Max Kepler to 2nd.2–7
5Max Kepler singles on a ground ball to left fielder MJ Melendez. Matt Wallner scores. Jose Miranda to 3rd. Carlos Santana to 2nd.2–6
5Michael Massey doubles (11) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Manuel Margot, deflected by right fielder Max Kepler. Kyle Isbel scores.2–5
4Christian Vázquez homers (7) on a fly ball to center field.1–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
