Braves at Twins
Last play · Trevor Larnach flies out to left fielder Jarred Kelenic.
Win probability
Twins0%
ATL 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 1 – 0 MIN
Braves led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-150 / +125
Twins favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Olson doubles (30) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Austin Martin. Marcell Ozuna scores. (inning 7) — -19% Braves
7Luke Williams doubles (2) on a line drive to left fielder Manuel Margot. Orlando Arcia scores. Sean Murphy scores.5–1
7Ramón Laureano singles on a ground ball to right fielder Matt Wallner. Matt Olson scores. Ramón Laureano to 2nd.3–1
7Matt Olson doubles (30) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Austin Martin. Marcell Ozuna scores.2–1
6Willi Castro singles on a ground ball to center fielder Michael Harris II. Ryan Jeffers scores. Jose Miranda to 2nd.1–1
1Jorge Soler homers (17) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
