Braves at Twins
Last play · Royce Lewis strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Twins0%
ATL 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 9 – 3 MIN
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Twins favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Olson homers (23) on a fly ball to right center field. Jorge Soler scores. Marcell Ozuna scores. (inning 1) — -26% Braves
9Matt Wallner homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field.10–6
8Kyle Farmer homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.10–5
7Royce Lewis out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Michael Harris II. Christian Vázquez scores. Matt Wallner to 3rd.10–4
6Marcell Ozuna strikes out swinging.10–3
5Manuel Margot singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Ramón Laureano. Matt Wallner scores. Austin Martin to 3rd.9–3
5Austin Martin singles on a ground ball to third baseman Gio Urshela. Willi Castro scores. Matt Wallner to 3rd.9–2
2Travis d'Arnaud homers (14) on a fly ball to left field. Matt Olson scores.9–1
2Matt Olson doubles (27) on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Matt Wallner. Jorge Soler scores. Marcell Ozuna scores.7–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
