Cardinals at Twins
Last play · Austin Martin grounds into a force out, shortstop Masyn Winn to second baseman Brendan Donovan. Carlos Santana out at 2nd.
Win probability
Twins0%
STL 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 1 – 1 MIN
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Twins favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Lars Nootbaar singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Willi Castro. José Fermín scores. Brendan Donovan scores. (inning 9) — -71% Cardinals
9Lars Nootbaar singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Willi Castro. José Fermín scores. Brendan Donovan scores.3–2
8Royce Lewis doubles (11) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Tommy Pham. Willi Castro scores.1–2
5Victor Scott II homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
1Willi Castro homers (11) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
