Cubs at Mets
Last play · Francisco Lindor doubles (6) on a ground ball to left fielder Ian Happ. Brett Baty scores. Harrison Bader scores.
Win probability
Mets100%
CHC 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 4 – 2 NYM
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Mets favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nick Madrigal doubles (3) on a line drive to right fielder Starling Marte. Patrick Wisdom scores. (inning 11) — -43% Cubs
11Francisco Lindor doubles (6) on a ground ball to left fielder Ian Happ. Brett Baty scores. Harrison Bader scores.6–7
11Nick Madrigal doubles (3) on a line drive to right fielder Starling Marte. Patrick Wisdom scores.6–5
6Brandon Nimmo doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. Francisco Lindor scores.5–5
6Francisco Lindor doubles (5) on a line drive to right fielder Mike Tauchman. Jeff McNeil scores. Harrison Bader scores.5–4
6Pete Crow-Armstrong doubles (2) on a line drive to right fielder Starling Marte. Patrick Wisdom scores.5–2
5Starling Marte singles on a line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Harrison Bader scores. Brandon Nimmo to 2nd.4–2
5Brandon Nimmo singles on a ground ball to left fielder Ian Happ. Brett Baty scores. Harrison Bader to 3rd.4–1
5Christopher Morel homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Nico Hoerner scores. Ian Happ scores.4–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








