Braves at Mets
Last play · J.D. Martinez flies out to center fielder Michael Harris II.
Win probability
Mets0%
ATL 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 4 – 0 NYM
Braves led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-155 / +130
Mets favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Olson homers (4) on a line drive to right center field. Austin Riley scores. (inning 3) — -14% Braves
9Pete Alonso singles on a line drive to left fielder Adam Duvall. Starling Marte scores.4–2
7Francisco Lindor homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.4–1
3Matt Olson homers (4) on a line drive to right center field. Austin Riley scores.4–0
3Ozzie Albies homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.2–0
3Ronald Acuña Jr. homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








