Phillies at Mets
Last play · Jeff McNeil lines out to shortstop Bryson Stott.
Win probability
Mets0%
PHI 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 1 – 3 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Mets favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Mets challenged (hit by pitch), call on the field was upheld: Alec Bohm hit by pitch. Kody Clemens scores. Brandon Marsh to 3rd. Whit Merrifield to 2nd. (inning 9) — -38% Phillies
10Bryson Stott out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Starling Marte. Bryce Harper scores.5–4
9Mets challenged (hit by pitch), call on the field was upheld: Alec Bohm hit by pitch. Kody Clemens scores. Brandon Marsh to 3rd. Whit Merrifield to 2nd.4–4
9Bryson Stott homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.3–4
7Tyrone Taylor singles on a ground ball to shortstop Edmundo Sosa, deflected by third baseman Alec Bohm. Pete Alonso scores. J.D. Martinez to 2nd.2–4
7Johan Rojas grounds out, shortstop Francisco Lindor to first baseman Pete Alonso. Edmundo Sosa scores. Brandon Marsh to 3rd.2–3
3J.D. Martinez walks. Starling Marte scores. Francisco Lindor to 3rd. Pete Alonso to 2nd.1–3
2Tomás Nido singles on a ground ball to center fielder Johan Rojas. J.D. Martinez scores. Harrison Bader to 3rd.1–2
2J.D. Martinez doubles (3) on a line drive to left fielder Whit Merrifield. Pete Alonso scores.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








