Giants at Mets
Last play · Harrison Bader flies out to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski.
Win probability
Mets0%
SF 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 0 – 1 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -145
Mets favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · LaMonte Wade Jr. singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Starling Marte. Ryan McKenna scores. LaMonte Wade Jr. out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Starling Marte to shortstop Francisco Lindor. (inning 9) — -38% Giants
10Mike Yastrzemski triples (2) on a fly ball to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Luis Matos scores. Thairo Estrada scores. Patrick Bailey scores.7–2
10Patrick Bailey walks. Brett Wisely scores. Luis Matos to 3rd. Thairo Estrada to 2nd.4–2
10Brett Wisely singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Starling Marte. Curt Casali scores.3–2
9LaMonte Wade Jr. singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Starling Marte. Ryan McKenna scores. LaMonte Wade Jr. out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Starling Marte to shortstop Francisco Lindor.2–2
7Brett Baty homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.1–2
6Patrick Bailey singles on a line drive to left fielder DJ Stewart. Brett Wisely scores. Thairo Estrada to 2nd.1–1
2Starling Marte homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
