Giants at Mets
Last play · Mets challenged (play at 1st), call on the field was upheld: Mark Vientos grounds out, third baseman Matt Chapman to first baseman LaMonte Wade Jr.
Win probability
Mets0%
SF 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 2 – 5 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -145
Mets favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Patrick Bailey hits a grand slam (4) to right center field. LaMonte Wade Jr. scores. Thairo Estrada scores. Matt Chapman scores. (inning 8) — -68% Giants
9Francisco Lindor singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski. DJ Stewart scores.8–7
9Mike Yastrzemski homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.8–6
8Patrick Bailey hits a grand slam (4) to right center field. LaMonte Wade Jr. scores. Thairo Estrada scores. Matt Chapman scores.7–6
8Thairo Estrada doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. Mike Yastrzemski scores. LaMonte Wade Jr. to 3rd.3–6
7Pete Alonso homers (12) on a fly ball to left field.2–6
5Mark Vientos homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.2–5
5J.D. Martinez homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.2–4
4Tomás Nido out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Heliot Ramos. Starling Marte scores.2–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
